Thursday, November 21, 2013

Thursday's Market 11/21/2013

The pullback of the previous three days was all but erased today, as the SPX gapped higher at the open, and barely looked back. Yesterday I said that inverted corrective wave had completed at the 1773.23 low, suggesting a move higher. Just as decline yesterday was foreshadowed by a nested inverted corrective wave scenario, the set up for today’s rally began in the last hour of trading yesterday. From that low, the index formed a small 5 wave sequence to 1780.95. After a small pullback, the SPX formed another small wave higher, followed by three small waves lower. This formed a 1-2-3-4-5(1)-A-1-A-B-C sequence. The sharp rise this morning completed wave D, and the small pullback that followed, wave E, completing the first inverted corrective wave, and wave 2. Three more waves to the upside, 1790.61-1789.34-1793.38, completed waves 3, 4, and 5, and in turn wave B of the initial inverted corrective wave that began yesterday. A swift three wave decline followed, completing waves C, D, and E, which completed that initial corrective wave, and wave 2 from yesterday’s 1773.23 low.  Three quick moves higher completed the sequence from the low at 1793.71, right at the 1794 resistance level.


After reaching that resistance level, the SPX underwent the largest pullback of the day, all of 3 points. This decline occurred in three waves, suggesting another inverted corrective wave was underway. After pulling back to 1790.60, the index began to rise again. The rally from 1790.60 eventually carried the index to 1797.16. This was a 5 wave sequence with an inverted corrective wave 2. Wave D of this corrective wave lifted the SPX to 1795.71, with wave E testing that 1794 support at 1794.10. After reaching 1797.16, the index pulled back again, this time to 1794.35. This would be within the range of completing the inverted corrective wave from 1793.71, and wave 2 of a sequence higher.


I am looking for this sequence from 1773.23 to complete somewhere above 1803. This would complete the third wave from 1746.20 low, and after a brief pull pack would then project wave 5 above 1828.



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