Monday, March 25, 2013

Monday's Market 03/25/2013



With today’s move to a new uptrend high at 1564.91, my count from this weekend seems to be confirmed. That count had 1563.62 completing a 5 Wave sequence from 1074.77. This in turn completed Wave 2 of an inverted corrective Wave 2 from the May 2011 high of 1370.58. Wave 3 then completed at 1555.74, Wave 4 at 1562.86, and Wave 5 at 1538.57. This concluded Wave 2 from 666.79.
From that point, the market completed a 5 wave up to 1561.56, a 5 wave sequence down to 1545.90, and a 5 wave sequence today at 1564.91. That very well could complete Wave 5 from 666.79. This would be confirmed with a move below 1545.90. Since we stayed above that level today, it is still possible for the market to move higher, and also possible that we are still in Wave 3 from 666.79.


 
After a flat start this morning, the market powered higher, moving to 1564.91. This completed a 5 wave sequence from the 1545.90 low. After hitting the new uptrend high, the market sold off rather quickly, dropping below the previous close, and hitting 1550.68 before trying to move higher. After a small rebound, the market fell again, this time to 1546.22. At that point the market did rally, moving past 1555, and turning positive for the day once again. After falling back to 1548, the market rallied into the close.
 
If the market moves higher from here, 1565, just marginally higher than today’s high, would be my target. If the SPX should hit that level, the implication would be that we are still in Wave 3 from 667.
 
 
 

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