This blog introduces a new way to analyze the stock market. The 5 Wave Model uses relationships between up and down movements, or waves, in the price action to determine turning points in the market.
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Friday, November 21, 2014
Thursday's Market 11/20/2014
The SPX gapped down at the open this morning
dropping to within .12 of yesterday’s low at 2040.49. The index reversed at
that point, closing the opening gap as it rose to 2048.57. After a small
pullback the rally continued as the SPX reached 2051.91, and then 2053.84. Once
the SPX reached that level, it began to pull back again, first falling to
2050.37, and then 2049.35 before staging another small rally into the close.
As noted previously, the SPX completed a 5 wave
sequence from 2001.01 at 2056.08. This completed Wave 3 of a 5 wave sequence
from the 1820.66 low, with Wave 4 then completing at 2040.37. From that low the
SPX completed a 5 wave sequence at 2052.14 for a wave 1, which was then
followed by an inverted corrective wave 2 that completed today at 2049.35.
With what appears to be 4 waves now completed from
the 1820.66 low, a target for wave 5 of the sequence can now be calculated. This
target is between 2072 and 2126. This is a large range at the moment, but near
the 2070 target area mentioned here for awhile. As the current wave unfolds a
more accurate range should be able to be determined.
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
Tuesday's Market 11/18/2014
The SPX opened higher this morning, and then
gained momentum as it rose to 2049.98. A slight pullback followed, as the index
dipped to 2046.42, where it moved ahead once more, finally topping at 2056.08.
Once that mark was reached the SPX pulled back again into the close.
I have been looking for the SPX to complete a 5
wave sequence from last Thursday’s 2030.44 low between 2053 and 2063 which
would complete the sequence from 2001.01. It looks like this happened today at
2056.08. There is support at 2042, and then 2035. A pullback to either of those
levels would put a final rise to above 2070 well within reach.
A move above today’s high without a larger pullback
could mean the wave from 2001.01 has not completed, and still has a ways to go.
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